2024 Stats
W-L
5-2
ERA
4.33
WHIP
1.04
K
54
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons. Read Past Outlooks
Earns victory over Rangers
Ober (5-2) allowed two runs on four hits and three walks over five innings Friday, striking out five and earning a win over Texas.
ANALYSIS
Ober coughed up a two-run shot to Corey Seager in the first inning but settled in for a solid outing after that. Despite striking out just five batters, Ober forced a season-high 16 whiffs, including seven with his changeup. He's generated at least 12 swinging strikes in six of his last seven starts. He owns a 4.33 ERA through 10 starts and a 3.02 ERA over his last nine. Ober's next outing is expected to come at home against the Royals.
Ober coughed up a two-run shot to Corey Seager in the first inning but settled in for a solid outing after that. Despite striking out just five batters, Ober forced a season-high 16 whiffs, including seven with his changeup. He's generated at least 12 swinging strikes in six of his last seven starts. He owns a 4.33 ERA through 10 starts and a 3.02 ERA over his last nine. Ober's next outing is expected to come at home against the Royals.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-7%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .231 | 104 | 31 | 104 | 10 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .227 | 147 | 21 | 111 | 23 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .211 | 24 | 6 | 19 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .228 | 30 | 6 | 23 | 4 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .228 | 63 | 17 | 62 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .236 | 83 | 12 | 63 | 16 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .258 | 17 | 8 | 23 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .205 | 34 | 3 | 25 | 3 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-19%
ERA at Home
2024
-53%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.19 | 1.06 | 121.1 | 9.2 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.92 | 1.05 | 131.0 | 8.7 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2024Home | 2.57 | 0.90 | 21.0 | 10.7 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 5.52 | 1.13 | 31.0 | 8.4 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.30 | 1.07 | 76.1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.57 | 1.06 | 68.0 | 9.9 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2022Home | 3.38 | 1.17 | 24.0 | 10.5 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.09 | 0.97 | 32.0 | 6.5 | 1.4 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.50K/9
9.3BB/9
2.1HR/9
1.2Fastball
91.9 mphERA
4.33WHIP
1.04BABIP
.274GB/FB
0.63Left On Base
65.6%Exit Velocity
80.5 mphBarrels/BBE
5.5%Spin Rate
2136 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.5%Swinging Strike
12.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy.
More Fantasy News
Surrenders five runs in loss
Ober (4-2) took the loss against Cleveland on Saturday, allowing five runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out four batters over four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Electric versus Blue Jays
Ober (4-1) earned the win after he pitched 6.1 scoreless innings, allowing one hit while striking out 10 batters in Sunday's 5-1 victory over Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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Allows three hits in no-decision
Ober didn't factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing two runs via three hits and one walk over five innings against the Mariners. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Wins third straight
Ober (3-1) earned the win Wednesday over the White Sox, allowing four runs on six hits while striking out three over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Notches second win
Ober (2-1) allowed two runs on three hits and three walks over 7.1 innings Friday, striking out eight and earning a win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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