Derrick Henry
30-Year-Old
2023 Rush/Rec Stats
ATT
280
YDS
1167
TD
12
YDS
214
TD
0
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Henry is one of a kind with no true case study for a player bearing his traits, making it especially difficult to make the right call on the question of physical decline -- something that's already difficult enough to determine for running backs. The decline always happens, but in Henry's case there's reason to suspect he can remain productive into his early 30s. As much as his career workload of 2,030 carries (2,186 including playoffs) is a concerning figure, it's defenders who tend to get the worst of the collisions that involve him, and there might be a different exchange rate of usage to decline for someone with his combination of size (6-3, 247) and speed. That combination could prove a dangerous fit in a Ravens offense that already spreads defenses thin with the rushing threat posed by Lamar Jackson. Good as Henry might be as a rusher for the Baltimore offense, he'll have a hard time matching his workloads from Tennessee and isn't likely to catch many passes (Justice Hill paced Baltimore running backs with 28 receptions in 16 games last year). The 30 year old may be even more reliant on touchdowns than in past seasons, though he at least figures to spend plenty of time in the red zone now that he's with a much better team. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Lands with Ravens
Henry is signing a two-year contract with the Ravens, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
It's a match that's been rumored all offseason, after the Ravens infamously attempted just six RB carries in an AFC Championship Game loss to Kansas City. For Henry, it'll be the first change of scenery in his pro career, following an eight-year stint with the Titans that featured five 1,000-yard rushing seasons, including three over 1,500 and one over 2,000. He led the league with 280 carries in 2023 and hit pay dirt 12 times, though he averaged a career-low 4.17 yards per attempt while ceding nearly half of Tennessee's backfield snaps to rookie Tyjae Spears. There's reason to believe the 30-year-old's YPC mark will rebound with the move to Baltimore, where he'll have superior QB play and likely a better offensive line. Henry's contract reportedly has a base value of $16 million over two years, with $9 million guaranteed and then another $4 million available via incentives.
It's a match that's been rumored all offseason, after the Ravens infamously attempted just six RB carries in an AFC Championship Game loss to Kansas City. For Henry, it'll be the first change of scenery in his pro career, following an eight-year stint with the Titans that featured five 1,000-yard rushing seasons, including three over 1,500 and one over 2,000. He led the league with 280 carries in 2023 and hit pay dirt 12 times, though he averaged a career-low 4.17 yards per attempt while ceding nearly half of Tennessee's backfield snaps to rookie Tyjae Spears. There's reason to believe the 30-year-old's YPC mark will rebound with the move to Baltimore, where he'll have superior QB play and likely a better offensive line. Henry's contract reportedly has a base value of $16 million over two years, with $9 million guaranteed and then another $4 million available via incentives.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Derrick Henry's 2023 advanced stats compare to other running backs?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank.
The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Broken Tackle %
17.5%Positive Run %
84.3%% Yds After Contact
74.4%Avg Yds After Contact
3.1Rushing TD %
4.3%Touches Per Game
18.1% Snaps w/Touch
57.8%Air Yards Per Game
-4.8Air Yards Per Snap
-0.15% Team Air Yards
-1.8%% Team Targets
7.5%Avg Depth of Target
-2.3 YdsCatch Rate
77.8%Drop Rate
5.6%Avg Yds After Catch
9.9% Targeted On Route
19.6%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2023 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Derrick Henry lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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2023 Derrick Henry Split Stats
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Measurables Review
View College Player Page
How do Derrick Henry's measurables compare to other running backs?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 3"Weight
247 lbs40-Yard Dash
4.54 secShuttle Time
4.38 secCone Drill
7.20 secVertical Jump
37.0 inBroad Jump
130 inBench Press
22 repsHand Length
8.75 inArm Length
33.00 in
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Didn't get offer from Cowboys
Henry, who makes his offseason home in Dallas, said during a recent appearance on "The Pivot" podcast that he would have been interested in signing with the Cowboys, but he didn't get an offer from the team and ultimately chose to sign with Baltimore as a free agent.
ANALYSIS
The Cowboys' lack of interest in Henry was peculiar considering that the team opted not to retain its top running back from 2023 in Tony Pollard, who is set to succeed Henry as the top running back on Tennessee's depth chart. Perhaps Dallas is looking for a younger, cheaper option in the backfield. The Ravens took advantage of Dallas' inaction and signed the three-time 1,500-yard rusher to a two-year contract worth up to $20 million. Henry's power running should mesh well in Baltimore with the speed of quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Keaton Mitchell, the latter of whom is recovering from a torn ACL.
The Cowboys' lack of interest in Henry was peculiar considering that the team opted not to retain its top running back from 2023 in Tony Pollard, who is set to succeed Henry as the top running back on Tennessee's depth chart. Perhaps Dallas is looking for a younger, cheaper option in the backfield. The Ravens took advantage of Dallas' inaction and signed the three-time 1,500-yard rusher to a two-year contract worth up to $20 million. Henry's power running should mesh well in Baltimore with the speed of quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Keaton Mitchell, the latter of whom is recovering from a torn ACL.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Henry's remarkable career appears to be trending downward somewhat, or at least that's true of the Titans in general, but he was still plenty capable in 2022 and settled any concerns regarding the foot injury that he suffered in 2021. Henry had no trouble planting the foot and inflicting his customary level of punishment on defenders, and encouragingly his big-play ability was about the same as ever. Henry's 10 carries of 20-plus yards last year are the second most of his career, and his four carries of 40-plus tied a career high from 2020. Not just that, but Henry showed real growth as a pass catcher, drawing a career-high 41 targets (previous high 31) and catching 33 for 398 yards (a new high by 192 yards). He'll turn 30 in January and is coming off four straight seasons with more than 20 carries per game, so the specter of decline understandably might give some fantasy investors pause, though it's difficult to tell what rules apply to a runner as freakishly built as the 247-pound Henry. Other running backs would've slowed down years ago with usage like Henry's, but it hasn't happened to him yet.
More Fantasy News
Likely to leave Titans
Henry doesn't seem likely to stay with the Titans, though GM Ran Carthon suggested Tuesday that the team will at least have conversations about re-signing the running back, ESPN's Turron Davenport reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could fit with new coach?
New Titans coach Brian Callahan suggested Friday that he'd like to work with Henry, who is scheduled for unrestricted free agency this offseason, Turron Davenport of ESPN.com reports. "A player like [Henry' fits into any offense," Callahan said. "If he's open to a return, that fits for us. I'm never going to reject good players. "
ANALYSIS
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Carries load in upset win
Henry rushed the ball 19 times for 153 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 28-20 win over Jacksonville.
ANALYSIS
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Held to 12 touches
Henry rushed the ball 12 times for 42 yards in Sunday's 26-3 loss to the Texans. He was targeted once but did not record a catch.
ANALYSIS
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Bounces back with two TDs
Henry had 19 carries for 88 yards with a touchdown and one reception for 11 yards against Seattle on Sunday. He also completed his only pass attempt for a 12-yard touchdown in the 20-17 loss.
ANALYSIS
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